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2.2.了解何时买入卖出货币对
How do you know when to buy or sell a currency pair?
你是如何知道何时买卖货币对的?
In the following examples, we are going to use fundamental analysis to help us decide whether to buy or sell a specific currency pair.
接下来的例子中,我们将用基础分析帮我们决定何时买卖特定的货币对。
Each currency belongs to a country (or region). So forex fundamental analysis focuses on the overall state of the country’s economy, such as productivity, employment, manufacturing, international trade, and interest ratezzzzzzzz.
每种货币都归属于一个国家(或地区)。所以外汇基础分析专注于这个国家经济的所有情况,如生产率、就业率、制造业、国际贸易和利率。
Wake up!
醒醒!
If you always fell asleep during your economics class or just flat out skipped economics class, don’t worry!
即使你总是在你的经济学课上睡觉或是对它感到疲惫不堪,也不要担心!
We will cover fundamental analysis in a later lesson.
我们将在之后的课程中涉及基础分析。
But right now, try to pretend you know what’s going on…
但现在,假装你知道发生了什么……
EUR/USD
欧元/美元
In this example, the euro is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
在这个例子中,欧元是基础货币也因此是买卖的基础。
If you believe that the U.S. economy will continue to weaken, which is bad for the U.S. dollar, you would execute a BUY EUR/USD order.
如果你相信美国经济将续衰落将有害于美元,你会执行买入EUR/USD这个指令。
By doing so, you have bought euros in the expectation that they will rise versus the U.S. dollar.
这样做,你就买了欧元,并期许它会相对于美元升值。
If you believe that the U.S. economy is strong and the euro will weaken against the U.S. dollar, you would execute a SELL EUR/USD order.
反之,你会执行卖出指令。
By doing so, you have sold euros in the expectation that they will fall versus the US dollar.
这样做,你就卖出了欧元,并期许它会相对于美元贬值。
USD/JPY
美元/日元
In this example, the U.S. dollar is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
在这个例子中,美元是基础货币也因此是买卖的基础。
If you think that the Japanese government is going to weaken the yen in order to help its export industry, you would execute a BUY USD/JPY order.
如果你认为日本政府会打压日元来提振工业出口,你会买入USD/JPY。
By doing so you have bought U.S dollars in the expectation that they will rise versus the Japanese yen.
这样做,你就买了美元,并期许它会相对于日元升值。
If you believe that Japanese investors are pulling money out of U.S. financial markets and converting all their U.S. dollars back to yen, and this will hurt the U.S. dollar, you would execute a SELL USD/JPY order.
如果你认为日本投资者会把钱抽离美国金融市场,并把他们的钱换回日元。这将不利于美元,你会卖出USD/JPY。
By doing so you have sold U.S dollars in the expectation that they will depreciate against the Japanese yen.
这样做,你就卖出了美元,并期许它会相对于日元贬值
GBP/USD
英镑/美元
In this example, the pound is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think the British economy will continue to do better than the U.S. in terms of economic growth, you would execute a BUY GBP/USD order.
By doing so you have bought pounds in the expectation that they will rise versus the U.S. dollar.
If you believe the British economy is slowing while the American economy remains strong like Chuck Norris, you would execute a SELL GBP/USD order.
By doing so you have sold pounds in the expectation that they will depreciate against the U.S. dollar.
USD/CHF
In this example, the U.S. dollar is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think the Swiss franc is overvalued, you would execute a BUY USD/CHF order.
By doing so you have bought U.S. dollars in the expectation that they will appreciate versus the Swiss Franc.
If you believe that the U.S. housing market weakness will hurt future economic growth, which will weaken the dollar, you would execute a SELL USD/CHF order.
By doing so you have sold U.S. dollars in the expectation that they will depreciate against the Swiss franc.
上述两个例子和前面的例子一样。
Trading in “Lots”
“手”
When you go to the grocery store and want to buy an egg, you can’t just buy a single egg, they come in dozens or “lots” of 12.
当你去小卖部买个鸡蛋时,你不会只买一个鸡蛋。它们是成堆,一个12个的
In forex, it would be just as foolish to buy or sell 1 euro, so they usually come in “lots” of 1,000 units of currency (micro lot), 10,000 units (mini lot), or 100,000 units (standard lot) depending on your broker and the type of account you have (more on “lots” later).
在外汇市场中,只买一欧元跟傻子似的,所以他们常常买1000单位的货币(微米手),10000单位(迷你手),100000单位(标准手)。这依赖于你的交易商和你有哪种类型的账户。
Margin Trading
保证金交易
“But I don’t have enough money to buy 10,000 euros! Can I still trade?”
“但我没钱买1000.欧元!我还能交易吗?”
You can! With margin trading!
你行的!有保证金交易就行!
Margin trading is simply the term used for trading with borrowed capital.
保证金交易简单来说就是用借来的资本交易的术语。
This is how you’re able to open $1,250 or $50,000 positions with as little as $25 or $1,000.
这就是你如何能用25美元或1000美元开1250美元或5000美元的仓。
You can conduct relatively large transactions, very quickly and cheaply, with a small amount of initial capital.
你能以少量的初始资本,进行相比较而言庞大的交易。
Let us explain.
让我们来解释下。
Listen carefully because this is very important!
因为这个非常重要,所以要仔细看。 |
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