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10:30更新 期金图片和人工中英翻译
11:00更新 A5波浪图片
11:30更新 B1波浪图片
12:00更新 波浪文本翻译
这里的黄金周线图,涵盖了过去五年:
You can see that, from the peak high in 2011, gold's price trend has moved in a series of waves lower, recently down to levels last seen in 2010 …
你可以看到,从峰值高2011,黄金的价格走势已经在一系列的波动较低,最近下降到接近2010的点位…
So, what's up with those green arrows?
那么,这些绿色箭头是什么?
Well, the first two arrows show what gold did, when two major groups of futures & options traders took extreme postitions in the gold futures market.
嗯,第一个箭头显示黄金做了什么,当两大类期货和期权交易者采取极端位置在黄金期货市场。
Large speculators (or hedge funds) held an extremely small net long position, while at the same time, Commericals (or insiders) took an extremely small net short position.
大型投机者(或对冲基金)持仓了一个非常小的净多头头寸,而在同一时间,商人(或场内交易)采取了一个非常小的净空仓。
So, at this juncture in 2013, a rally in gold followed.
所以,在2013这个时刻,黄金的反弹出现。
Earlier this year, we saw a similar juncture: Again, a rally in gold followed.
今年早些时候,我们看到了一个类似的时刻:再一次,黄金的反弹出现。
Today, we see this juncture for a third time. Gold is at a deep low, with Large Speculators and Commercials holding extreme positions.
今天,我们看到这个时刻第三次了。黄金是在一个很深的底部,同时,大型投机者和商人持仓在极端位置。
Finally: These more recent trend lines indicate one of the most reliable and exciting Elliott Wave patterns we follow.
最后:最近的趋势线表明我们跟随着最可靠和最令人兴奋的艾略特波浪模式之一。
The move it anticipates could unfold at three degrees of trend.
预期它将展开三波趋势。
以下是上周波浪分析
A cautious view based upon the daily chart: Gold is falling in wave a (circled) of 5 of an ending diagonal wave (5). … A speculative view based upon the intraday charts (that is not yet confirmed by a substantial move on the daily chart): We have a fifth-wave bottom for gold at 1045.40, so we can project a wave b (circled) bounce to the 1101-1135 area
根据每日图表的一个谨慎的观点:黄金是在一波(圈)的5的一个终结三角波(5)。…根据日线图投机的观点(即还没有在日线图上大幅移动来确认):我们有一个黄金第五浪底为1045.40,所以我们可以目标B浪反弹(圈)的1101-1135区域
As EURUSD did on Thursday, gold's bullish reversal on Friday came after the market finished an ending diagonal, a high-confidence Elliott wave pattern that almost always precedes fast, strong trend reversals.
当欧元/美元的走势发生在上周星期四,黄金的看涨反转在星期五来到市场完成末端倾斜后,一个高信心的艾略特波浪模式强趋势的反转几乎总是比预期来的。
That's not to say that every Elliott wave scenario always works out. But if this week proved one thing (yet again) it's this: Wave patterns appear in charts of all liquid markets, again and again, whether it's gold or forex or energy or stocks, and can alert you to trend changes well before the news (subsequently used to explain the move).
这并不是说,每一个艾略特波浪行为模式总是如此工作。但如果上周证明了一件事(再次重复)是:浪潮模式出现在所有清晰的市场图表中,无论是黄金还是外汇、能源或股票,都可以提醒你在新闻前的趋势变化(随后用来解释这一举动)。
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